Statsationals 2019 NFL Win Totals Bets

Once again I will be going over each teams win total with juice based on the current lines at Pinnacle.  The below table shows my expected win total for each team.  I calculated the EV based on the expected wins and the current line.  The bet sizes are all to win 100 which in this case will be 1 unit.  Adjust accordingly based on your unit size.  If your lines differ much from Pinnacle you will need to calculate the EV based on those lines.  If you sign up for my free beginners course you will understand better how to calculate that along with a spreadsheet to give you the probability of the occurrence based on the juice.


2019 Win Total Bets Table

Team Exp Wins Exp Losses Total Over Juice Under Juice Over EV Under EV Bet Amt Over Bet Amt Under
Arizona 4.2 11.8 5 -149 125 -34 18 No Bet $80.00
Atlanta 7.5 8.5 9 123 -147 -23 22 No Bet $147.00
Baltimore 10.5 5.5 8.5 114 -136 56 -80 $87.72 No Bet
Buffalo 7.5 8.5 6.5 -165 138 13
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